Kamala Harris For President 2024. Kenny holston for the new york times. Kamala harris and donald trump are essentially tied — with neither candidate ahead by even a single percentage point — in the new york times’s polling averages of five critical.

For the first time since 538 published our presidential election forecast for vice president kamala harris and former president donald trump, trump has taken the lead (if a very small one). Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.